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Stability basics

Estimate shelf-life and expiry using standard stability inputs.

Summary

This calculator follows the linear regression approach described in ICH Q1E for evaluating stability data and estimating shelf-life.

Use time points and assay results to estimate a trend and identify when the product is expected to cross the acceptance limit. This calculator provides a simple point estimate and should be used alongside formal stability protocols and statistical review.

Step-by-step: Estimate shelf-life trend

  1. Capture timepoints and assay results

    Enter matched stability timepoints and assay results.

  2. Set the acceptance limit

    Provide the specification limit for the attribute.

  3. Estimate trend and shelf-life

    Use linear regression (per ICH Q1E) to estimate when the trend crosses the spec limit.

Stability inputs

Enter timepoints and assay results per row.

Timepoint 1

Enter matched time and result.

Timepoint 2

Enter matched time and result.

At least two timepoints are required to fit a trend. For a meaningful assessment, use several timepoints (three or more) to align with typical stability protocols and improve slope reliability.

Trend results

y = a + b * t

y is the assay result at time t, a is the intercept (predicted result at time 0), and b is the slope (change per month).

Shelf-life (t) =Spec limit - ab

Provide at least two timepoints with results to calculate the trend.

Regulatory references

Read-only guidance aligned with major regulatory bodies.

FDAEMAICHUSPISPEPDA